03042cam a2200337 i 4500 605443729 TxAuBib 20221006120000.0 220608s2022||||||||||||||||||||||||eng|u 2022026775 9781324021308 HRD 30.00 1324021306 HRD 30.00 TxAuBib rda Brands, Hal, 1983-, author. Danger zone [BOOK] : the coming conflict with China / Hal Brands and Michael Beckley. First edition. New York, NY : W.W. Norton & Company, [2022] xix, 275 pages ; 24 cm. txt rdacontent n rdamedia nc rdacarrier Includes bibliographical references (pages 219-261) and index. The Chinese dream -- Peak China -- The closing ring -- Danger: falling powers -- The gathering storm -- What one Cold War can teach us about another -- Into the danger zone -- Life on the other side. It has become conventional wisdom that America and China are running a “superpower marathon” that may last a century. Yet Hal Brands and Michael Beckley pose a counterintuitive question: What if the sharpest phase of that competition is more like a decade-long sprint? The Sino-American contest is driven by clashing geopolitical interests and a stark ideological dispute over whether authoritarianism or democracy will dominate the 21st century. But both history and China’s current trajectory suggest that this rivalry will reach its moment of maximum danger in the 2020s. China is at a perilous moment: strong enough to violently challenge the existing order, yet losing confidence that time is on its side. Numerous examples from antiquity to the present show that rising powers become most aggressive when their fortunes fade, their difficulties multiply, and they realize they must achieve their ambitions now or miss the chance to do so forever. China has already started down this path. Witness its aggression toward Taiwan, its record-breaking military buildup, and its efforts to dominate the critical technologies that will shape the world’s future. Over the long run, the Chinese challenge will most likely prove more manageable than many pessimists currently believe―but during the 2020s, the pace of Sino-American conflict will accelerate, and the prospect of war will be frighteningly real. America, Brands and Beckley argue, will still need a sustainable approach to winning a protracted global competition. But first, it needs a near-term strategy for navigating the danger zone ahead. Provided by publisher. 20221006. United States Foreign relations China. United States Foreign relations 21st century. China Foreign relations United States. China Foreign relations 21st century. Beckley, Michael, author.